Wednesday, May 19, 2021

A Disturbance in the Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a disturbance in the Western Atlantic for possible development.

Hurricane Season doesn't officially start until June 1st, but already there is something to watch. 

Courtesy: Tropical Tidbits

On the satellite imagery above, if you look at the right center edge of the picture... that is the area NHC is monitoring. 

Watching for organization


NHC says, this disturbance has the potential to develop into a non-tropical low pressure system over the area highlighted in yellow over a period of 5 days. There is a 60% chance of this happening. A non tropical low is your basic counterclockwise spin with a cold center as opposed to the average warm core hurricane-like storm.

It may develop as early as Thursday, a few hundred miles NE of Bermuda, generating gale force winds of over 30 mph.The name would be Ana.

The Twist

The disturbance could drift southwest into warmer waters by the end of the week and acquire subtropical characteristics. This means it may look like your classic tropical system, but its center would still be cold, and it would also be cloud free with much of the rain and wind a good hundred miles away.

Forecast

NHC says, eventually whatever develops, if anything, would travel northeast away from any land masses and run into a more hostile environment by the weekend.

This is a good reminder that we should get ready for a season that lasts thru the end of November. Last year we had a record with 30 named systems. NHC ran out of names and resorted to using the Greek Alphabet to follow storms. Hoping this year will not be as active.

NHC will issue their 2021 forecast on Thursday.

If you would like to see a list of names for this year and for the next 5 years, click on the link


We'll be watching



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