Friday, June 11, 2021

Watching the Gulf of Mexico

 The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is keeping an eye on the SW Gulf of Mexico for possible tropical development next week.


There is some cloud cover there now with moisture but otherwise it is mostly quiet.

NHC Chances for Organization

 


 NHC suggests that an area of low pressure could develop along the Bay of Campeche in the SW Gulf. 

 They are giving this possibility a 30% chance of organization anywhere in the area highlighted in yellow.

What are models suggesting

Keep in mind nothing has developed so at this stage of the game models are giving us an educated guess.

The GFS Models says that if we do get some formation, it may aim towards Coastal Louisiana by Friday of next week.

The Euro model has whatever features develops, in the middle of the Gulf Thursday evening.

Even if Nothing happens, an Upper Trough, or an elongated area of low pressure over Mexico, is set to carry plenty of Tropical Moisture towards the Gulf States. That could lead to flooding concerns.


We'll be watching

 

 

 


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