Gulf System?

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is watching a trough (an elongated area of low pressure) in the Gulf of Mexico for possible development.

Courtesy: Tropical Tidbits

It is sitting in the Bay of Campeche in the SW Gulf of Mexico. There is plenty of clouds and rain there and slow development is possible in the next few days. NHC says a depression may form by the end of the upcoming work week. They caution, even if it doesn't develop, heavy rainfall is possible across parts of Central America and Mexico. 

Chances for Growth

This disturbance will crawl along in the Gulf of Mexico. Over the next 5 days, it has a 50% chance for developing into a depression/storm. As of Saturday night, very early model runs suggested some of the rain could eventually make it to the Gulf States. As of Sunday morning, those models are hinting at a more westerly track for whatever develops. If it were to organize, it would form earlier than the average second system of the season which is July 16th.

A second area has popped up as of the 2 pm Sunday update. It has a 20% chance for development just East of the Carolinas.

Invest 92L

NHC has deemed the Gulf feature Invest 92 L.  Invest for an area they would like to INVEST-igate further, 92 is a tracking the number, and "L" stands for Atlantic Basin. At this moment, the trajectories take it WSW. Keep monitoring as that could change as well. Slow moving systems like this one are extra difficult to forecast movement. 

In other Tropical News... SAL

A huge plume of Saharan Dust has made it west to Dominican Republic and Haiti. If models are correct, some of that dust could make it into South Florida by late next week. This should dry us out after what is set to be a very wet start to the work week.

We'll be watching