Friday, October 7, 2022

Hurricane impact on Nicaragua?

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a category one hurricane to impact Central America, specifically Nicaragua. This is due to recently upgraded Tropical Storm Julia. It had been impacting the Coast of South America as Depression 13. 


The storm is basically moving over the Guajira Peninsula, and is still being nagged by land interaction.  Julia is the fifth tropical system to actually cross the Guajira Peninsula, which is part of both Colombia & Venezuela. The last time this happened we need to go back to 1996 with TS Cesar. 

This brush with the South American Coast kept TD 13 in check fbut now it has begun intensification. More clouds are developing along the center spin with additional storms popping up.  

What Next?


The forecast cone suggests that High Pressure's influence from the Atlantic Ocean into the Gulf of Mexico, will push the storm west. 

As it moves away from land it will have a chance to become a hurricane before landfall. 

Headlines

  • Through the morning and early afternoon, gusty winds to tropical storm force (over 39 mph) will be possible across the Guajira Peninsula, parts of Venezuela, and Aruba 
  • Torrential downpours will lead to flooding, land and mudslides in the areas named above, as well as Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao
  • The system is forecast to make landfall by Nicaragua late in the weekend. They along with Honduras should be getting ready for a possible strike 
Rain Forecasts


This will be the biggest impact in parts of Central America and Mexico.  Some spots in interior Nicaragua could see up to 15 inches.

If you have family and friends in Nicaragua and Honduras, please contact them and tell them what is forecast so they can prepare accordingly.

We'll be watching



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