As of 11 am Thursday, The National Hurricane Center (NHC), is tracking Potential Storm 13. This is not a fully organized storm but has the potential to be one shortly. By issuing advisories now, it allows countries in its path to prepare accordingly.
Right Now
It's basically a broad area of low pressure with huge amounts of rain. The alleged center of circulation is too close to land and thus its spin is somewhat interrupted. This is not allowing it to fully develop. Winds from the system are picking up to near tropical storm strength and therefore NHC has initiated advisories.
NHC is having a hard time trying to identify exactly where the center is located. As of Thursday morning it is being placed just north of Coastal Venezuela. Being so close to land will keep its intensity in check for a good 24 hours.
Next
High pressure in the Western Atlantic will steer the system west brushing up along Venezuela, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao (ABC islands), and Colombia. It may become Tropical Storm Julia by Thursday evening or Friday morning.
Over the weekend, the system may get stronger as it will travel impeded over warm waters. This will give it a chance to possibly become a hurricane just before moving onshore across Nicaragua, Belize, Honduras, or Yucatan.
Important Notes
- Winds over 39 mph are possible along Colombia's coast Thursday night to Friday morning. A Tropical Storm Warning is in place there. Northern Venezuela, and the ABC Islands, will also experience tropical storm force winds of over 39 mph.
- Heavy rainfall will make a huge impact leading to possible flash flooding in many areas along the system's path specially along portions of Central America. More watches and warnings may be issued over the next 24 hours.
- Rain may be felt along Jamaica and Grand Cayman as well.
NO impacts for the Bahamas or Florida.
We'll be watching
We have family in Nicaragua, so we are watching too, thank you!
ReplyDeleteThey should prepare for lots of rain which could lead to flooding. Hoping for the best.
ReplyDelete