A tropical storm in the Western Atlantic by the name of Bill promises to be a short lived system. It is forecast to fall apart sometime on Wednesday as it nears the Canadian Maritimes.
It is holding its own as of Tuesday morning with some impressive offshore rain bands, but in another 24 hrs, colder waters and shear or stronger upper levels winds, will spell the end of Bill. It should then be near New Foundland.
Bill developed on June 14th, over one month ahead of the average date of the second named system in a season, that being July 16th.
Two Other Areas
The National Hurricane Center (NHC), is keeping tabs on two other areas for possible development.
The first disturbance is a broad area of low pressure in the SW Gulf of Mexico. It really looks unhealthy on satellite imagery. The rain is not organized and you can't really make out a spin at all. NHC says this low will stick around the Bay of Campeche for a few more days dumping plenty of rain across Coastal Mexico.
Eventually it should start to make a move northward. This is when the U.S should start to eye it closely. By the end of the week it could develop into a depression or a tropical storm. Some rain from the system could begin arriving near Texas by then as well. Chances for development stand at 70% over a period of 5 days.
Models
This is Invest 92L. The short term model tracks keep it very close to the Mexican Coastline, but by day 5, the system appears to head north towards Texas, Louisiana & even the Florida Panhandle. No impacts are forecast for South Florida at this time.
The second area NHC is watching is in the Far Eastern Atlantic.
Its a bit early in the season to start looking at waves off the West Coast of Africa, but nonetheless, here we are. You can see the push of clouds moving west, but it is surrounded by Saharan Dust. This plume should starve it of needed moisture to grow, so we are not expecting too much from it. NHC is giving it only a 10% chance for growth.
We'll be watching
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